First laid down in "The Far-Flung Future of 2028" (Feb 25, 2026) and locked in with a 12-month clock and $1,000 lunch stakes during the July 2026 episodes with Dan Nolan (The Gidley vetoed by Raph in favour of somewhere else—or blown at the local golf club).
Terms: Within 12 months (by February 2027), an articulated, genuine political movement or major political party in the developed world / Anglosphere (US Democrats/Republicans, UK/Aus/NZ Greens, etc.) will run explicitly on an anti-AI platform—specifically focused on labour displacement and "pulling the plug" on the tech (rather than general AI safety or local infrastructure)—as a top-tier election issue that passes the "pub test."
The scraped articles do not provide any evidence of a major Anglosphere political party or articulated political movement launching a top-tier campaign to ban/pull the plug on AI over human labour displacement. The Lane Cove Rule excludes anti-data-center politics, safety regulation, and general AI oversight, and none of the articles meet the criteria for a qualifying exhibit. The closest articles, such as [10] and [15], discuss AI-related issues but do not meet the strict terms of the bet.